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us dollar gains face uncertainty amid economic and political challenges

The US dollar has surged 6% since early October, reaching its highest value since 2022, driven by inflation concerns linked to potential punitive tariffs and tax cuts under Trump. However, this strength may be overstated, as the Fed is likely to maintain lower interest rates, and various economic factors could weaken the dollar moving forward. The current appreciation against the Swiss franc may not be sustainable, suggesting a cautious outlook for travelers planning to exchange currency.
07:57 18.11.2024

prominent financial leaders and experts gather for global investment summit

Swiss banks are gearing up for the implementation of "Basel III Final" by January 1, 2025, which will significantly alter credit pricing and capital requirements. The output floor will increase capital needs for top-rated residential mortgages, potentially raising costs by 20 basis points for prime loans. This regulatory shift necessitates strategic adjustments in pricing and risk management for banks to remain competitive in the evolving credit market.
Muzinich & Co. CHE Werner Peyer Hans Jakob Roth Anna Stünzi Markus Winkler Stefan Schneider Hans-Martin Kraus Stephen Dover Hans Ulrich Jost Guillaume Compeyron Miro Zivkovic Stefan Bannwart Kim Iskyan Angela Agostini Thorsten Polleit Olivier Kessler Jean-Baptiste Berthon Maurice Pedergnana Agnieszka Walorska Benoit Barbereau Marc Saint John Webb Patrick Hunger Richard Egger Jeff Voegeli Peter Schmid Todd Saligman Thomas Fedier Kinan Khadam-Al-Jame Guy de Blonay Robert Sharps Matthias Hunn Reto Jauch Christina Boeck Ken Orchard Marco Martinelli Stefan Kreuzkamp Nicolas Faller Dietrich Goenemeyer Fabrizio Pagani Samuel Gerber Carole Millet Tom Naratil Jeffrey Bohn Frederic Papp Bruno Capone Dan Steinbock Benjamin Böhner Ebrahim Attarzadeh Michael Bornhaeusser Lamara von Albertini Fernando Fernández Jacques-Aurélien Marcireau Mirjam Staub-Bisang Guido Schilling Mike Judith Hui Zhang Fabrizio Quirighetti Patrick Scheurle Bernd Kramer Nick Platjouw Eric Heymann Michel Longhini Johnny El Hachem Maya Bhandari Martin Dahinden Dorte Bech Vizard Ana Botín Fiona Frick Frédéric Leroux Ursula Finsterwald Shaul Lifshitz Sébastien Galy Pascal R. Bersier Dieter Wermuth Grégoire Bordier Jared Cook Niels Lan Doky Georg von Wyss Alex Wolf Yves Mirabaud Jean Keller Thomas Steinemann Stefan Gerlach Nicholas Yeo Stefan Blum Neil Shearing Jochen Moebert Tobias Mueller Marcel Hostettler Birte Orth-Freese Dennis Larsen Salman Ahmed Albert Steck Bert Flossbach Didier Saint-Georges Gun Woo Robert Hemmi Rino Borini Thomas Kupfer Zsolt Kohalmi Gerard Guerdat Raphaël Surber Jesper Koll Florian Wicki Andreas Vetsch Andreas Ita Roman von Ah Brigitte Strebel Philipp Weckherlin Santosh Brivio Judith Basad Gilles Prince Sandro Occhilupo Søren Bjønness Fabiana Fedeli Jean Tirole Carina Schaurte Roman Balzan Peter Kurer Brad Slingerlend Kim Fournais Andreas Britt Thomas Sutter Peter Fanconi Mobeen Tahir Anne Richards Christoph Sax Arturo Bris Christian Gast Steve Hanke Tatjana Greil Castro Philipp Kaupke Alfred Mettler Tom King Niccolò Garzelli Gérard Piasko Alina Donets Chris Rowe Thomas Stucki Felix Brem Darren Williams Urs Schoettli Jean-François Hirschel Ramon Vogt Vega Ibanez Marco Bargel Carlo Capaul Serge Tabachnik Nicolas Roth Mario Bassi Martin Gilbert Werner E. Rutsch Anton Affentranger Nuno Fernandes Nicolas Ramelet Swetha Ramachandran Ingo Rauser Peter Hody Frédéric Papp Thomas Mueller Roman Gaus Katharina Bart Henk Grootveld Karam Hinduja Klaus Breiner Juergen Braunstein Sean Hagerty Armin Jans Michael Welti Thomas Signer Andrea Hoffmann Oliver Bussmann Jan Boudewijns Claire Shaw Oliver Berger Claude-Alain Margelisch Christian Dreyer Mark Urquhart Jens Pongratz Antoni Trenchev Michael Benz Will Ballard Alexander F. Wagner Peter van der Welle David Folkerts-Landau Denise Kenyon-Rouvinez Thomas Höhne-Sparborth Stephen Thariyan Michael Hasenstab James Syme Stuart Dunbar Rolando Grandi Show more
05:37 15.11.2024

trump's economic policies face scrutiny as markets react to uncertainty

Following the US elections, investors are evaluating the potential impact of Donald Trump's economic policies, which largely mirror his first term, focusing on tax cuts and trade tariffs. While the US equity market reacted positively, European shares fell amid trade war concerns, and inflation fears led to rising bond yields. Historical trends suggest that economic laws will prevail over political maneuvers, indicating that investors should be cautious about speculating on the next four years.
10:08 11.11.2024

swiss inflation trends suggest deflation fears may be unfounded

Switzerland's inflation rate dropped to 0.6% in October, driven by lower prices for imported goods, particularly energy. While domestic inflation remains stable, fears of deflation are unfounded, as rent increases and a tight labor market continue to exert upward pressure on prices. Internationally, inflation trends vary, but a significant rise akin to 2022/23 is unlikely without drastic changes in energy prices or economic conditions.
08:49 04.11.2024

the enduring dominance of the us dollar in global finance

The US dollar remains the dominant global currency, holding 62% of foreign exchange reserves, while the euro trails at 20%. Despite efforts from BRICS nations to establish alternatives, the dollar's unique attributes—such as a large economy, liquid capital markets, and free tradability—ensure its continued supremacy. The euro is the only potential challenger, but its structural flaws hinder confidence in its viability.
09:25 28.10.2024

swiss national bank's interest rate cuts unlikely to weaken franc

The SNB's anticipated interest rate cuts aim to address a declining inflation rate, primarily driven by lower import prices, while domestic inflation remains high. However, these cuts are ineffective for managing the Swiss franc's value, as interest rates do not significantly influence currency demand. Instead, the franc's appeal stems from its status as a safe haven, necessitating potential foreign exchange market interventions to stabilize its value amidst ongoing upward pressure.
09:26 07.10.2024

us economy shows signs of weakening amid construction boom and inflation

During a recent visit to New York, the booming construction industry was evident, with numerous renovations and new buildings underway, although office vacancies remain a concern. Inflation is impacting prices, particularly in hospitality and transport, while consumer spending appears more selective, indicating a shift from the post-coronavirus boom. The labor market shows signs of weakening, with fewer job advertisements, particularly outside the public sector.
09:00 30.09.2024
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